Future studies
Philosophy of the future—Where are we going?
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Contents
- Risk
- Technological growth
- Artificial intelligence
- Transhumanism
- My thoughts
- Annotated bibliography
- Links and encyclopedia articles
- References
Risk
Limits to growth
See also:
- Ecology in the Outline on Ethics.
Existential threats
- Bostrom, N. (2013). Existential risk prevention as global priority.1
- Climate change
- WMDs
- Pandemics
- …
- Doomsday argument
- Hanson, R. (1998). Critiquing the doomsday argument.
Fermi paradox
- Fermi paradox
- Bostrom, N. (2002). Anthropic Bias: Observation selection effects in science and philosophy.2
- Sandberg, A., Drexler, E., & Ord, T. (2018). Dissolving the Fermi paradox.3
- Hanson, R., Martin, D., McCarter, C., & Paulson, J. (2021). If loud aliens explain human earliness, quiet aliens are also rare.4
- Wong, M.L. & Bartlett, S. (2022). Asymptotic burnout and homeostatic awakening: A possible solution to the Fermi paradox?5
Technological growth
Future of computing
- Feynman, R.P. (1959). There’s plenty of room at the bottom.6
- Vinge, V. (1993). The coming technological singularity.7
- Bostrom, N. (2014). Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies.8
- Armstrong, S., Sotala, K., & OhEigeartaigh, S. S. (2014). The errors, insights and lessons of famous AI predictions–and what they mean for the future.9
- Urban, T. (2015). The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence.10
See also:
Future of the internet
- Clegg, N. (2022). Making the metaverse: What it is, how it will be built, and why it matters.
Simulation argument
- Simulation argument11 and patch12
- Simulation hypothesis
Artificial intelligence
Outlook
- Feynman, R.P. (1985). Talk: Can machines think?
- Russell & Norvig13
- Video: Carroll, S. & Russell, S. (2020). Stuart Russell on making artificial intelligence compatible with humans. Mindscape 94.
- Russell: AI gives us the Midas touch
- Gwern. (2020). The scaling hypothesis.
- Zhang, D. et al. (2021). The AI Index 2021 Annual Report.14
- Zhang, D. et al. (2022). The AI Index 2022 Annual Report.15
- Marcus, G. (2022). Deep learning is hitting a wall: What would it take for artificial intelligence to make real progress?
- Benaich, N. & Hogarth, I. (2022). State of AI Report 2022.
See also:
Risks
- Jeremy Howard warning about the abilities of models like GPT-2:
We have the technology to totally fill Twitter, email, and the web up with reasonable-sounding, context-appropriate prose, which would drown out all other speech and be impossible to filter.16
Transhumanism
- Haldane, J.B.S. (1924). Daedalus; or, Science and the Future.
- Russell, B. (1924). Icarus, or the future of science.
- Huxley, Julian (1957). Transhumanism.
- Bostrom, N. (2005). The fable of the dragon-tyrant.17
My thoughts
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Annotated bibliography
Bostrom, N. (2002). Anthropic Bias: Observation selection effects in science and philosophy.
- TODO.
My thoughts
- TODO.
Bostrom, N. (2003). Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?
- TODO.
My thoughts
- TODO.
Bostrom, N. (2014). Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies.
- TODO.
My thoughts
- TODO.
More articles to do
- TODO.
Links and encyclopedia articles
SEP
IEP
Wikipedia
Others
Videos
References
Bostrom (2013).↩︎
Bostrom (2002).↩︎
Sandberg, Drexler, & Ord (2018).↩︎
Hanson, Martin, McCarter, & Paulson (2021).↩︎
Wong & Bartlett (2022).↩︎
Feynman (1959).↩︎
Vinge (1993).↩︎
Bostrom (2014).↩︎
Armstrong, Sotala, & OhEigeartaigh (2014).↩︎
Urban (2015).↩︎
Bostrom (2003).↩︎
Bostrom (2011).↩︎
Russell & Norvig (1995).↩︎
Zhang, D. et al. (2021).↩︎
Zhang, D. et al. (2022).↩︎
Vincent (2019).↩︎
Bostrom (2005).↩︎